The Grand National and key betting considerations.

The Grand National is one of the most prestigious horse racing events in the world, and is held annually at Aintree Racecourse near Liverpool, England. The race is a true test of stamina and jumping ability for horses and jockeys alike, and is known for its challenging course and iconic fences. In this article, we will take a closer look at the Grand National, including some of the favourite winners and key trends.

First run in 1839, the Grand National has a rich history and has been won by some of the greatest horses and jockeys of all time. The race is run over a distance of four miles and two and a half furlongs, and features 30 fences, including the famous Becher’s Brook, Canal Turn and The Chair. These fences are among the most challenging in horse racing, and require a combination of speed, skill and courage to negotiate successfully.

One of the most successful horses in the history of the Grand National is Red Rum, who won the race three times in the 1970s. Trained by Ginger McCain and ridden by jockey Brian Fletcher, Red Rum was a true champion and is still celebrated as one of the greatest National winners of all time. Another legendary winner of the Grand National is the great Desert Orchid, who won the race in 1989. Desert Orchid was known for his jumping ability and his distinctive grey coat, and remains one of the most popular horses in British racing history.

In recent years, the Grand National has been dominated by a number of high-profile trainers, including Gordon Elliott, who has won the race three times since 2018 with Tiger Roll. Tiger Roll, ridden by jockey Davy Russell, won the race in both 2018 and 2019, and was hotly tipped to win again in 2020 before the race was cancelled due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Tiger Roll remains a popular favourite with racing fans, and is widely regarded as one of the best horses to have ever run in the Grand National.

In terms of trends, there are a number of factors that are often seen as key indicators of success in the Grand National. One of these is age, with most winners falling between the ages of eight and 12. Another important factor is weight, with horses carrying more than 11st 5lb historically struggling to win the race. Experience is also seen as a key factor, with horses who have previously run in the race or have experience of other major events often performing well.

Overall, the Grand National is a race that captures the imagination of racing fans around the world, and has produced some of the most memorable moments in the history of the sport. Whether you are a seasoned racing fan or a casual observer, the Grand National is an event that should not be missed, and is sure to provide plenty of excitement and drama for all who watch.

When it comes to betting on the Grand National, there are several key considerations that should be taken into account before making a wager. Here are a few things to keep in mind:

  1. Form – It’s important to look at a horse’s recent form when considering a bet. Has the horse been performing well in previous races? Have they won any recent events, or finished in the top few places? It’s also important to consider whether the horse has had a long break since their last race, as this could affect their fitness and form.
  2. Weight – Weight is a significant factor in the Grand National, as the race is handicapped. The amount of weight a horse carries can have a big impact on their chances of winning, and it’s generally thought that horses carrying more than 11st 5lb struggle to win. However, there have been some exceptions to this rule in the past.
  3. Jumping Ability – The Grand National is known for its challenging fences, so it’s important to consider a horse’s jumping ability when making a bet. Some horses are naturally better jumpers than others, and this can make a big difference in a race like the Grand National. Horses that have fallen or unseated their riders in previous races may be considered riskier bets.
  4. Stamina – The Grand National is a long and grueling race, and it’s important to consider whether a horse has the stamina to last the distance. Horses that have performed well in long-distance races in the past may be considered better bets than those that have primarily competed in shorter events.
  5. Jockey – The jockey riding a horse can also be a significant factor in a bet. Experienced jockeys who have previously won the Grand National may be considered more likely to perform well, as they are familiar with the unique challenges of the race. It’s also important to consider the jockey’s recent form and whether they have a good relationship with the horse they are riding.
  6. Odds – Of course, the odds offered by bookmakers are also an important consideration when making a bet. Horses with shorter odds are generally considered to have a better chance of winning, but they may also offer lower returns if successful. It’s important to weigh up the odds against the other factors listed above before making a final decision.

The odds of Grand National winners can vary significantly from year to year, depending on the quality of the field and other factors. However, based on historical data, the average odds of a Grand National winner are typically around 20-1.

Here is a breakdown of past Grand National winners, their odds, and the position of the favourite horse:

2022: Tiger Roll (40-1), favourite finished 3rd
2021: Minella Times (11-1), favourite finished 4th
2019: Tiger Roll (4-1), favourite won
2018: Tiger Roll (10-1), favourite won
2017: One For Arthur (14-1), favourite finished 2nd
2016: Rule The World (33-1), favourite finished 2nd
2015: Many Clouds (25-1), favourite won
2014: Pineau De Re (25-1), favourite finished 5th
2013: Auroras Encore (66-1), favourite finished 3rd
2012: Neptune Collonges (33-1), favourite finished 2nd
2011: Ballabriggs (14-1), favourite finished 4th
2010: Don’t Push It (10-1), favourite won

In terms of the breakdown of favourite finish positions, the record of favourites in the Grand National finishing 1st is generally quite poor. Since the year 2000, only three favourites have won the race but as you can see below they have generally placed in the top 5.

Here is a breakdown of favourite finish positions since 2000:

1st: 3 times (2019, 2018, 2010)
2nd: 4 times (2021, 2017, 2016, 2012)
3rd: 3 times (2022, 2013, 2002)
4th: 3 times (2011, 2008, 2001)
5th: 1 time (2014)
6th: 1 time (2000)
7th: 1 time (2003)
8th: 1 time (2009)

Overall, the Grand National is a notoriously difficult race to predict, and the odds can be highly volatile as a result. While it’s always worth considering the form and other factors listed above when making a bet, it’s also important to be prepared for surprises and to approach the race with a healthy dose of caution.

At The Horse Race Predictor we have actually called the Winner on each of the last three times the race has been run plus got a big fistul of ‘Placed’ runners in our super hot and super accurate HRP Ratings.

The exchanges have up to 10 places paid on the race. Maybe we will find not only the ‘Winner’ but an array of placed selections at big odds. We have the track-record and the set-up to make that a good odds proposition!