** House Notes** Be careful if races start close to each other. You may not get the results of the race you placed a bet on before the next race starts, so do try to either watch a Live Feed of the race or “watch” the race in real-time at Betfair. **

For Tripler, OBAD, and Ratchet, I use the 3 selections generated by the HRP software, assess each one, and then say what I am going to do. Obviously, you can make your own decisions as to what you think the outcomes will be. Sometimes, the result of a previous race will dictate whether I stick with my predictions or not. The automated HRP spreadsheet determines your next stake, based on the result of the previous race and is geared at helping you hit your daily target.

My new system, Doc’s Fav Goldmine, is coming along nicely and I have had many winners on the spin. My small stakes have increased in size, due to a constant supply of winning selections 🙂 My DFG Bank is now really building nicely. I only started keeping accurate records since April 1st, 2021. In the first 3 months, my Bank has increased 630.77%. However, as the stake is 10% of the Betting Bank, any losses do hit hard but I have always caught up rapidly before moving ahead again.

I ALWAYS stop betting if I hit my target of 2.5% (or as near as dammit.) Use your common sense – if you get close to your personal target, it’s your decision as to whether you want to carry on & go for it. Personally, I learned the harsh lesson of being greedy, and many times, when just under my target, I have “Gone for it,” only to lose the lot chasing bigger profits.

It’s your call as to whether you take the early odds, hoping they will then go down, or wait until nearer the off hoping the odds have increased. The key thing to remember is a winner (or winners) at odds totaling 1.25 or above will hit your Daily Target. A profit of 2.5% per day will double your Bank in a month.

As a non-horse racing expert, it still amazes me that in a race with only 4, 5 or 6 runners where there is a massive favourite, you can still occasionally pick up superb Place Odds in excess of those required to hit target. To my horse racing thicko’s mind, this is what I call a NO BRAINER.

 

As Albert Einstein allegedly said: “Compound Interest is the 8th Wonder Of The World.”

 

STAY SAFE FELLAS.

 

I didn’t get back from deepest Essex until later yesterday, so I didn’t have time to post anything. Let’s hope that this coming October gives us much better results than last month. The number of really well-fancied favourites beaten by rank outsiders was quite unbelievable!

 

TODAY’S HRP SELECTIONS

TRIPLER

13.30 – Brighton – Mystery Monarch. (59) – Non-Runner.

13.55 – Huntingdon – Impulsive One. (69) – Had a terrific debut recently and I expect something similar today. WIN.

15.05 – Huntingdon – Island Nation. (62) – Main competition came from Galata Bridge, which is now a Non-Runner. (Good job as this pleb ruined our betting last time out!) With Lewis Hamilton on board, I foresee a WIN.

 

OBAD

13.55 – Huntingdon – Impulsive One. (69) – Had a terrific debut recently and I expect something similar today. WIN.

 

RATCHET – Same selections as Tripler but in the PLACE MARKET. Instructions for use: http://bit.ly/35tpfR

 

DOC’S FAV GOLDMINE

• All selections are in the PLACE market.
• Stop at a profit of 2.5% per day. (Or as near as.)
• Use 10% of your Bank as stake.
• If a loss occurs, keep to the last stake and not 10% of the new, reduced Bank.

I am also showing the early Place Odds in brackets together with the number of runners and the number of horses to be placed. It’s your decision as to whether or not you take the early odds or wait, hoping they will increase. The key thing to remember is a winner/winners at odds totaling 1.25 or above will hit your Daily Target. A profit of 2.5% per day will double your Bank every month.

Please be prepared to change your line of thinking – “on the hoof” so to speak – if the odds move dramatically. They may drift, thus making the selection a “No Bet”, or the odds may steam in, making it not worth taking the risk.

If you want to, you can omit any bets with odds below 1.25 (or thereabouts) and just concentrate on the bets over those odds. This reduces the number of bets but means if you get a winner, you have hit your target and can stop betting for the day, not having to risk any more money on another race. (It also means, however, if you do get a loser, there will be fewer races left to recoup any losses.)

Because of a strong winning 3 months, the stakes are getting quite serious now. I’m trying to be mega confident in my selections so will be scrutinising them in a little more detail.

14.20 – Galway – Future Romance. (1.39 – 11 – 3) – Consider 4 TBP at a Target Hitting 1.26.

16.25 – Brighton – Temur Khan. (1.28 – 7 – 3)

18.30 – Kempton – Going Gone. (1.39 – 8 – 3) Consider 4 TBP at 1.20.

 

 

SEPTEMBER ANALYSIS

I placed a total of 42 bets during September, with only 1 loss out of the first 13. This pushed my profits over the 1,000% mark since I started on April 1st. I thought this was awesome, but out of the remaining bets, there were 10 losers! A total of 11 losing bets for the month. All of these were really well-fancied favourites and some of them were beaten by massive outsiders. I don’t know a horse’s arse from its fetlock, but this was an unprecedented amount of bad results. As I am no expert, I don’t know if September is a historically bad month for favourites, but it seemed that the betting Gods were all against us. I put it down to crap jockeymanship and crap trainership – if those words exist. And the great British weather.

I can put up with a few losses, as these are factored into the figures, but to get double the norm is unacceptable. However, despite my overall loss for the month – the first in 6 months – the figures and the strategy don’t lie. They will recover and I fully expect that by the time Spring comes next year, my profits will be in the stratosphere compared to my starting bank. Having said what a poor month I had, my Bank is still standing at 725% profit since I started. Show me anywhere else that can get returns like that and I will gladly show my arse on the Bolton Town Hall steps. 🙂

Let’s look forward to great months to come.

Doc.