25th September 2021 + Doc’s Fav Goldmine + Summary

** House Notes** Be careful if races start close to each other. You may not get the results of the race you placed a bet on before the next race starts, so do try to either watch a Live Feed of the race or “watch” the race in real-time at Betfair. **

For Tripler, OBAD, and Ratchet, I use the 3 selections generated by the HRP software, assess each one, and then say what I am going to do. Obviously, you can make your own decisions as to what you think the outcomes will be. Sometimes, the result of a previous race will dictate whether I stick with my predictions or not. The automated HRP spreadsheet determines your next stake, based on the result of the previous race and is geared at helping you hit your daily target.

My new system, Doc’s Fav Goldmine, is coming along nicely and I have had many winners on the spin. My small stakes have increased in size, due to a constant supply of winning selections 🙂 My DFG Bank is now really building nicely. I only started keeping accurate records since April 1st, 2021. In the first 3 months, my Bank has increased 630.77%. However, as the stake is 10% of the Betting Bank, any losses do hit hard but I have always caught up rapidly before moving ahead again.

I ALWAYS stop betting if I hit my target of 2.5% (or as near as dammit.) Use your common sense – if you get close to your personal target, it’s your decision as to whether you want to carry on & go for it. Personally, I learned the harsh lesson of being greedy, and many times, when just under my target, I have “Gone for it,” only to lose the lot chasing bigger profits.

It’s your call as to whether you take the early odds, hoping they will then go down, or wait until nearer the off hoping the odds have increased. The key thing to remember is a winner (or winners) at odds totaling 1.25 or above will hit your Daily Target. A profit of 2.5% per day will double your Bank in a month.

As a non-horse racing expert, it still amazes me that in a race with only 4, 5 or 6 runners where there is a massive favourite, you can still occasionally pick up superb Place Odds in excess of those required to hit target. To my horse racing thicko’s mind, this is what I call a NO BRAINER.

 

As Albert Einstein allegedly said: “Compound Interest is the 8th Wonder Of The World.”

 

STAY SAFE FELLAS.

 

TODAY’S HRP SELECTIONS

TRIPLER

14.25 – Newmarket – Sacred Bridge. (69) – 12 runners in a 6 furlong spring. My nightmare! SPLIT.

14.45 – Market Rasen – Caramelised. (82) – Won on both of his last 2 outings and this should make it 3/3. WIN.

16.20 – Chester – Mujtaba. (69) – Top opponent in Enfranchise. I’m looking at a 2 – 2 SPLIT.

 

OBAD

14.45 – Market Rasen – Caramelised. (82) – Won on both of his last 2 outings and this should make it 3/3. WIN.

 

RATCHET – Same selections as Tripler but in the PLACE MARKET. Instructions for use: http://bit.ly/35tpfR

 

DOC’S FAV GOLDMINE

  • All selections are in the PLACE market.
  • Stop at a profit of 2.5% per day. (Or as near as.)
  • Use 10% of your Bank as stake.
  • If a loss occurs, keep to the last stake and not 10% of the new, reduced Bank.

I am also showing the early Place Odds in brackets together with the number of runners and the number of horses to be placed. It’s your decision as to whether or not you take the early odds or wait, hoping they will increase. The key thing to remember is a winner/winners at odds totaling 1.25 or above will hit your Daily Target. A profit of 2.5% per day will double your Bank every month.

Please be prepared to change your line of thinking – “on the hoof” so to speak – if the odds move dramatically. They may drift, thus making the selection a “No Bet”, or the odds may steam in, making it not worth taking the risk.

If you want to, you can omit any bets with odds below 1.25 (or thereabouts) and just concentrate on the bets over those odds. This reduces the number of bets but means if you get a winner, you have hit your target and can stop betting for the day, not having to risk any more money on another race. (It also means, however, if you do get a loser, there will be fewer races left to recoup any losses.)

Because of a strong winning 3 months, the stakes are getting quite serious now. I’m trying to be mega confident in my selections so will be scrutinising them in a little more detail.

13.30 – Haydock – Educator. (1.21 – 8 – 3)

14.30 – Curragh – Luxembourg. (1.28 – 5 – 2)

16.10 – Curragh – Art Power. (1.23 – 9 – 3)

16.20 – Chester – Mujtaba. (1.10 – 8 – 3)

 

 

YESTERDAY’S SUMMARY

Absolutely horrific. Nothing more can be said except we lost on all 3 main systems. Only Ratchet came up with anything like a success, with 2 place wins. The problem was the Race 2 loser which cost us dearly.

Doc’s Fav Goldmine is driving me nuts. This is THE worst month up to now that I have encountered since I started on April 1st. My criteria are exactly the same but for some inexplicable reason, we have had a spate of Race 1 losers, which means it then becomes a day of catch-up. I have never, ever known so many fancied – really fancied – favourites underperform. Too many times we have been beaten by horses which shouldn’t even be on the same page.

Race 1, a really top horse, was beaten into last place! Then we got a 2nd place winner and then yet another horse pulled up. Do these jockeys give up? I don’t know; I’m no racing whiz kid, but I get the feeling that if they can’t win, they simply pack it in. Is it the fault of the jockey for not “understanding” the horse they are riding? Is it the trainer’s fault for not getting the horses prepared sufficiently for the particular race they’ve entered? Not good enough! Race 4 just about summed it up – only 7 runners and we only won because originally, there were 8 runners, so Betfair paid on 3 places. When the horse withdrew, Betfair didn’t reduce the payout places from 3 to 2, so we were DEAD LUCKY with the 3rd place win.

Anyway, I’m still over the moon at my total profit since I started and I just hope we get this shocking run over with. It’s a numbers game and we will be back on track again before you know it. 🙂

 

TRIPLER

14.00 – Haydock – Buckshaw Village. (59) – I’m going for a WIN, despite a top opponent in Captains Bar. RESULT – 2nd. (Captain’s Bar won!)

15.00 – Newmarket – Majestic Glory. (69) – Not 100% convinced, so it’s a SPLIT for me. RESULT – 6th.

15.35 – Newmarket – Master Of The Seas. (89) – Bill Buick all the way for me. WIN. RESULT – 3rd.

 

OBAD

15.35 – Newmarket – Master Of The Seas. (89) – Bill Buick all the way for me. WIN. RESULT – 3rd.

 

RATCHET – RESULTS – 2nd, 6th 3rd.

 

DOC’S FAV GOLDMINE

13.00 – Haydock – Lockerbie. (1.23 – 4 – 2) RESULT – 4th.

14.00 – Haydock – Buckshaw Village. (1.36 – 5 – 2) RESULT – 2nd.

14.52 – Worcester – Thistle Do Nicely. (1.49 – 5 – 2) RESULT – P/U.

15.35 – Newmarket – Master Of The Seas. (1.21 – 7 – 3) RESULT – 3rd.

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