** Club Notes**
Be careful if races start close to each other. You may not get the results of the race you placed a bet on before the next race starts, so do try to either watch the race live, or watch it on Betfair.
For Tripler, OBAD, and Ratchet, I use the 3 selections generated by the HRP software, assess each one, and then say what I am going to do. Obviously, you can make your own decisions as to what you think the outcomes will be. Sometimes, the result of a previous race will dictate whether I stick with my predictions or not. The automated HRP spreadsheet determines your next stake, based on the result of the previous race and is geared at helping you hit your daily target.
My new system, Doc’s Fav Goldmine, is coming along nicely and I have had many winners on the spin. My small stakes have increased in size, due to a constant supply of winning selections 🙂 My DFG Bank is now really building nicely. However, as the stake is 10% of the Betting Bank, any losses do hit hard but I have always caught up rapidly before moving ahead again.
I ALWAYS stop betting if I hit my target of 2.5% (or as near as dammit.) Use your common sense – if you get close to your personal target, it’s your decision as to whether you want to carry on & go for it. Personally, I learned the harsh lesson of being greedy, and many times, when just under my target, I have “Gone for it,” only to lose the lot chasing bigger profits.
It’s your call as to whether you take the early odds, hoping they will then go down, or wait until nearer the off hoping the odds have increased. The key thing to remember is a winner (or winners) at odds totaling 1.25 or above will hit your Daily Target. A profit of 2.5% per day will double your Bank in a month.
2.5% A DAY??? Currently, the BEST Bank savings interest rate on offer is 2.02% A YEAR!!!
As a non-horse racing expert, it still amazes me that in a race with only 4, 5, or 6 runners where there is a massive favourite, you can still occasionally pick up superb Place Odds in excess of those required to hit your target. To my horse racing thicko’s mind, this is what I call a NO BRAINER.
As Albert Einstein allegedly said: “Compound Interest is the 8th Wonder Of The World.”
** NB. A SPLIT bet is normally divided into 25% for the WIN and 75% for the PLACE. (ie. 1/3.) If I mention a 2/2 split, it means 50% for the WIN and 50% for the PLACE. (ie. 2/2.) **
I will also be adding the current prices available for Tripler & OBAD.
TODAY’S HRP SELECTIONS
TRIPLER
14.25 – Ayr – Pjanoo. (64) – With legendary actor Tony Curtis on board, he can’t lose. WIN. (1.50)
17.35 – Ballinrobe – IdealPal. (51) – According to the early prices, it’s a bit of a long shot. 14 runners and a long shot = 4 TBP SPLIT. (10.50 & 2.38)
18.05 – Ballinrobe – Roman Bull. (54) – Big danger in Red Azalea, but it has let lots of people down. I think ours may just do it. WIN. (3.65)
OBAD
14.25 – Ayr – Pjanoo. (64) – With legendary actor Tony Curtis on board, he can’t lose. WIN. (1.50)
RATCHET
Same selections as Tripler but in the PLACE MARKET. Instructions for use: http://bit.ly/35tpfR3
DOC’S FAV GOLDMINE
- All selections are in the PLACE market.
- Stop at a profit of 2.5% per day. (Or as near as.)
- Use 10% of your Bank as a stake.
- If a loss occurs, keep to the last stake and not 10% of the new, reduced Bank.
For those who may be a little more cautious, you may want to follow Dave & Gav’s C20 staking plan:
- Divide your Total Betting Fund into 4 equal segments. (25% per segment.)
- One segment – (25%) is used as your Frontline Betting Bank with either 10% or 20% as your stake. (Your choice.) 75% is held in reserve in case of a major loss.
- Any winnings are added to your Total Betting Bank and then the whole process of splitting into 4 segments starts again for the new day.
- You will need to use Gav & Dave’s Spreadsheet to calculate your stakes. (If not a VIP member, you may want to stick with 10% of your Betting Bank as your stake, then follow rules 1 – 3 above.)
I show the early Place Odds in brackets + the number of runners and number of horses to be placed. Your decision as to whether or not you take the early odds or wait, hoping they will increase. The key thing to remember is a winner/winners at odds totaling 1.25 or above will hit your Daily Target. A profit of 2.5% per day will double your Bank every month.
Be prepared to change your line of thinking – “on the hoof” so to speak – if the odds move dramatically. They may drift, thus making the selection a “No Bet”, or the odds may steam in, making it not worth taking the risk.
I will now show the odds for the EXTRA PLACE (and occasionally, 2 TBP) if the prices have merit. – if you want a little extra security and are prepared to accept lower odds for the Extra Place, and better odds on the 2 TBP market.
14.25 – Ayr – Pjanoo. (1.16 – 6 – 2)
20.35 – Ballinrobe – Midnight Run. (1.40 – 7 – 2) 3 TBP at 1.20.
DFG OBAD – For those who don’t have time to wait. I select ONE RACE which I think is the best bet for a good return.
20.35 – Ballinrobe – Midnight Run. (1.40 – 7 – 2) 3 TBP at 1.20.
YESTERDAY’S SUMMARY
Excellent day. All 3 horses on the main systems won, so wins all round for Tripler, OBAD & Ratchet.
There was a Non-Runner in Race 3 on Doc’s Fav Goldmine but by then, target had already been hit.
The DFG OBAD selection was a Non-Runner.
TRIPLER
13.59 – Stratford – Pop The Champagne. (50) – Only 3 runners AND they’re offering a 2 Pace Market, so it’s a SPLIT as there is no definitive favourite. (2.22 & 1.25) RESULT – 1st.
14.10 – Curragh – Order Of Australia. (57) – 5 runners and ours is the favourite, but not by much. SPLIT. (2.34 & 1.36) RESULT – 1st.
16.35 – Newton Abbot – Mucuna. (65) – Not 100% convinced it will win, so it’s my 3rd SPLIT of the day. (3.25 & 1.71 RESULT – 1st.
OBAD
16.35 – Newton Abbot – Mucuna. (65) – Not 100% convinced it will win, so it’s a SPLIT. (3.25 & 1.71) RESULT – 1st.
RATCHET – RESULTS – 1st, 1st, 1st.
DOC’S FAV GOLDMINE
12.00 – Stratford – Hillview. (1.22 – 4 – 2) RESULT – 2nd.
14.15 – Newton Abbot – Hell Red. (1.10 – 3 – 2) RESULT – 1st.
16.00 – Newton Abbot – Nibras Gold. (1.25 – 4 – 2) RESULT – Non Runner.
DFG OBAD
DFG OBAD – For those who don’t have time to wait. I select ONE RACE which I think is the best bet for a good return.
16.00 – Newton Abbot – Nibras Gold. (1.25 – 4 – 2) RESULT – Non Runner.