13th November 2021 + Doc’s Fav Goldmine + Summary

** House Notes** Be careful if races start close to each other. You may not get the results of the race you placed a bet on before the next race starts, so do try to either watch a Live Feed of the race or “watch” the race in real-time at Betfair. **

For Tripler, OBAD, and Ratchet, I use the 3 selections generated by the HRP software, assess each one, and then say what I am going to do. Obviously, you can make your own decisions as to what you think the outcomes will be. Sometimes, the result of a previous race will dictate whether I stick with my predictions or not. The automated HRP spreadsheet determines your next stake, based on the result of the previous race and is geared at helping you hit your daily target.

My new system, Doc’s Fav Goldmine, is coming along nicely and I have had many winners on the spin. My small stakes have increased in size, due to a constant supply of winning selections 🙂 My DFG Bank is now really building nicely. I only started keeping accurate records since April 1st, 2021. In the first 3 months, my Bank has increased 630.77%. However, as the stake is 10% of the Betting Bank, any losses do hit hard but I have always caught up rapidly before moving ahead again.

I ALWAYS stop betting if I hit my target of 2.5% (or as near as dammit.) Use your common sense – if you get close to your personal target, it’s your decision as to whether you want to carry on & go for it. Personally, I learned the harsh lesson of being greedy, and many times, when just under my target, I have “Gone for it,” only to lose the lot chasing bigger profits.

It’s your call as to whether you take the early odds, hoping they will then go down, or wait until nearer the off hoping the odds have increased. The key thing to remember is a winner (or winners) at odds totaling 1.25 or above will hit your Daily Target. A profit of 2.5% per day will double your Bank in a month.

As a non-horse racing expert, it still amazes me that in a race with only 4, 5, or 6 runners where there is a massive favourite, you can still occasionally pick up superb Place Odds in excess of those required to hit your target. To my horse racing thicko’s mind, this is what I call a NO BRAINER.

 

As Albert Einstein allegedly said: “Compound Interest is the 8th Wonder Of The World.”

 

STAY SAFE FELLAS.

 

All jabbed up. Again, quite a slick process, once I found the new place that they are using. Hats off to all the volunteers and nurses on duty. On the way back to the bus, I stopped at Bolton Town Hall at 11.00 to pay my respects to all those who gave the supreme sacrifice in order that people like us can do what we enjoy, such as trying to make extra money betting on horses. People also forget the animals – especially horses and dogs – who never made it through without knowing what carnage they were being dragged in to.

** NB. A SPLIT bet is normally divided into 25% for the WIN and 75% for the PLACE. (ie. 1/3.) If I mention a 2/2 split, it means 50% for the WIN and 50% for the PLACE. **

 

TODAY’S HRP SELECTIONS

 

TRIPLER

12.38 – Punchestown – Cape Gentleman. (62) – Only a small field but I expect ours to beat the nearest rival, Riviere Detel. WIN.

13.32 – Uttoxeter – Sayadam. (64) – Very similar to Race 1 and I expect the same result. WIN.

14.35 – Wetherby- Sauce Of Life. (67) – Only 5 runners. If we need a win to hit the target, that’s what I will go for, otherwise, as the Place Odds are very good, I will go for a SPLIT.

 

OBAD

14.35 – Wetherby- Sauce Of Life. (67) – As the Place Odds are very good, I will go for a SPLIT.

 

RATCHET – Same selections as Tripler but in the PLACE MARKET. Instructions for use: http://bit.ly/35tpfR

 

DOC’S FAV GOLDMINE

  • All selections are in the PLACE market.
  • Stop at a profit of 2.5% per day. (Or as near as.)
  • Use 10% of your Bank as stake.
  • If a loss occurs, keep to the last stake and not 10% of the new, reduced Bank.

I am showing the early Place Odds in brackets together with the number of runners and the number of horses to be placed. It’s your decision as to whether or not you take the early odds or wait, hoping they will increase. The key thing to remember is a winner/winners at odds totaling 1.25 or above will hit your Daily Target. A profit of 2.5% per day will double your Bank every month.

Please be prepared to change your line of thinking – “on the hoof” so to speak – if the odds move dramatically. They may drift, thus making the selection a “No Bet”, or the odds may steam in, making it not worth taking the risk.

From now on, I will now show the odds for the EXTRA PLACE (and occasionally, 2 TBP)  if the prices have merit. This is for those who want a little extra security and are prepared to accept lower odds for the Extra Place, and better odds if it’s well fancied on the 2 TBP market.

12.15 – Wetherby – Thunder Rock. (1.17 – 8 – 2) 2 TBP at 1.43.

12.38 – Punchestown – Cape Gentleman. (1.24 – 6 – 2)

13.32 – Uttoxeter – Sayadam. (1.13 – 8 – 3) 2 TBP at 1.28.

13.55 -Lingfield – Desert Lime. (1.46 – 7 – 2) 3 TBP at 1.18.

 

 

YESTERDAY’S SUMMARY

We may have just scraped through on Tripler. The decent Place Odds and a 3rd place finish should have been enough to stop for the day. Good job, as we had a faller in Race 2 – I hope the horse is OK – and a poor 4th place in Race 3. OBAD got in with the split 3rd place and Ratchet should have been close to target after Race 1, thus avoiding the losing runners in Races 2 & 3.

Doc’s Fav Goldmine had a great Race 1 result at really good odds. Plenty enough for me to stop for the day and to not have to risk any more betting. Race 2 finished just outside the places, but the other 2 selections both won their races.

 

TRIPLER

14.10 – Worcester – Black Poppy. (63) – Quite close at the top of the table and ours faces a big danger in Iberio. Place Odds are very good so I’m looking at a SPLIT. RESULT – 3rd.

14.20 – Cheltenham – My Drogo. (47) – Only 2 runners! So even before it starts, it’s got a 50% chance of winning. WIN. RESULT – Fell.

15.30 – Cheltenham – Off Your Rocco. (49) – Six runners, and with 2 to finish in the places at odds of almost 2.0, I feel quite safe in going for a SPLIT. RESULT – 4th.

 

OBAD

14.10 – Worcester – Black Poppy. (63) – Quite close at the top of the table and ours faces a big danger in Iberio. Place Odds are very good so I’m looking at a SPLIT. RESULT – 3rd.

 

RATCHET – RESULTS – 3rd, Fell, 4th.

 

DOC’S FAV GOLDMINE

14.00 – Newcastle -Taroob. (1.50 – 6 – 2) 3 TBP at 1.21. RESULT – 1st.

15.40 – Newcastle – Silver Bubble. (1.52 – 6 – 2) 3 TBP at 1.19. RESULT – 3rd.

16.45 – Dundalk – Chaos Control. (1.22 – 12 – 3) RESULT – 1st.

17.30 – Kempton – Al Nafir. (1.13 – 13 – 2 TBP) RESULT – 1st.

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